I was starting to fall into the trap of following too many games, and making too many picks. So, I am back with just 3 this week. Let's get too em...
3) Since it is Nick Saban's return to LSU, and Bama is no. 1, I can't lay off this game. I have been on the Tide all season. Maybe not with picks, but for sure in the big games. I truly think that they have the best OL/DL combo in football. John Parker Wilson has taken great care of the ball - and managed the offense very well. They have offensive balance. They stop the run.
And they are 6-3 ats this year - 4-0 on the road ats!
You can not ignore LSU's games against Georgia and Florida. Jarett Lee is just a Red. Frosh at QB, and he has turned the ball over enough to get the boobirds out at home last week against Tulane. Did I mention LSU is 2-5 ats and 0-4 at home!
I know, the atmosphere will be awesome. The LSU crowd will be amazing. What else is new. The players don't care about Saban, the coaching staff doesn't care about Saban - but Bama does.
Take the "Really Ahead of Schedule" Alabama CRIMSON TIDE -3 to cover in this afternoon start.
2) There is a team in Louisiana that has made plenty of folks happy with their play and their ability to cover the spread...yes, those Ragin Cajuns are back on my picks again.
I could go over what Lafayette's QB has done again - or I could mention they are 7-1 ats and UTEP is 2-6.
I just know that the Cajuns are solid this week. They may even get behind early, as UTEP is great out of the blocks. Lafayette is a very under-rated small school. Tyrell Fenroy is a stud at RB. QB Desormeaux is healthy after a week off against Arkansas St. two weeks ago. 500 ypg of offense.
This is a team at 4-0 in the Sun Belt - looking for a conference title.
Go with the Louisiana-Lafayette RAGIN' CAJUNS -9 in an evening game way off the National Radar.
1) The Little Brown Jug is on the line in Minneapolis and this game has been crazy in recent years. Last week, both Michigan and Minnesota had bad losses - but one team gets to stay at home to recover.
Michigan has gotten more out of it's RB spot in recent weeks but I don't see that as enough. They haven't shown much in the other games against bowl-bound teams Lost by 2 to Utah, Lost by 18 to Notre Dame, Lost by 25 to Illinois, Lost by 29 to Penn St, Lost by 14 to Michigan St...
Did you even know that the Gophers were 7-2 and could get to 10 wins?
Did you know that QB Adam Weber is throwing for almost 250 ypg with 11 TDs and only 4 Ints?
Did you know that Minnesota is 2nd in the country in TO margin at 1.67?
Minnesota is 6-2 ats (2-2 @ home). Michigan is 1-8 ats (0-3 on the road.)
In an early start, go with the Minnesota GOLDEN GOPHERS -7.5.